Yeah, it's self-reporting bias for sure. The majority of people are not lucking into hundreds of millions of NP.
If you are interested in some data points, my guild members have been keeping track of daily capsules and here's what each of us has gotten so far:
me
10/9, r97, Stone Golem Neoquest Plushie
10/10, r92, Harris in a Box
10/11, r98, Zombie Cybunny Morphing Potion
10/12, r94, Spyven Leg Soup
10/13, r93, Flotsam Tourist Pack
10/14, r99, Grey Mynci Plushie
10/15, r99, Regulation Chainmail
10/16, r96, Chomby Thunder Boot
Kay
10/9 r94 some flotsam necklace
10/10 r95 Pretty Pink Bruce Sweater
10/11 r96 Milk Maid Techo Skirt
10/12 r91 Techo Wanderer Jacket
10/13 r92 Casket Bookcase
10/14 r99 Red Korbat Morphing Potion
10/15 r96 King Kelpbeard Plushie
10/16 r96 Wooden Golf Club
Dante
10/10 r98 Plushie Kougra Morphing Potion
10/11 r98 Stone Stamp
10/12 r91 The Armoury
10/13 r99 Care of Koi
10/14 r94 Palace Guard Plushie
10/15 r99 Slorg Slime
10/16 r96 Whole Cheeseburger Pizza
Sean
10/9: r92 Loaf of Tablet Bread
10/10: r92 Valentine Piano
10/11: r90 Darigan Hissi Figure
10/12: r93 Neovian Blumaroo Gentleman Shoes
10/13: r91 Clam Chowder Ice Lolly
10/14: r97 Brightvale Celebratory Fruit Basket
10/15: r95 Blue Ogrin Morphing Potion
10/16: r97 Lovely Nimmo Trousers
Melanie
10/9 r98 speckled bruce mp
10/10 r99 red moehog mp
10/11 r94 sporkle leg
10/12 r94 Eyrie Mountaineer Hat
10/13 r99 Blue Bogie t-shirt
10/14 r95 grackle bug
10/15 r95 velvet eyrie cloak
10/16 r94 comfortable blumaroo trousers
Clorox
10/9, r99, Full Hissi Armour
10/10, r93, Research Desk Foreground
10/11, r95, Warrior Lupe Maiden Armour
10/12, r98, Yellow JubJub Morphing Potion
10/13, r96, Delightful Poogle Necklace
10/14, r92, Yellow Polka Dot Koi Dress
10/15, r93, Suave Pteri Trousers
10/16, r98, Elephante Barbarian Bracers
Mandy
10/9, r97, Gormball Garland
10/10, r93, Carousel Peophin Saddle
10/11, r91, Mynci Spa Cucumbers
10/12, r92, Mutant Lutari Action Figure
10/13, r98, Elephante Barbarian Armour
10/14, r93, Casual Techo Shoes and Tights
10/15, r95, Rambus Hot Dog
10/16, r92, Evil Fuzzle Coin
Nikki
10/9 r97 Chianatomy
10/10 r94 Tonu Super Hero Pyjama Boots
10/11 r98 Dark Buzz Wig
10/12 r96 Cozy Kau Dress
10/13 r97 Bleamix
10/14 r99 Striped Tuskaninny Morphing Potion
10/15 r90 Skeleton Wocky Plushie
10/16 r93 Green Gelert Trousers
Lizziam
10/9, r90, Jazan Costume
10/10, r98, Pink Draik Morphing Potion
10/11, r96, Harris Bean Bag
10/12, r94, Sleek Acara Jacket
10/13, r96, Luxury Dark and Light Faerie Snowglobe
10/14, r90, Elephante Professor Jacket
10/15, r91, Tonu Detective Suit
10/16, r96, Pteri Postman Shoes
So yeah the pool of prizes is
very big and the prices of r99 collectibles basically don't seem to be impacted at all. xP I do hope TNT considers making the recycling into a daily, though. The odds could be lowered to keep the gameplay balanced.